Indian regional polls 2017: Anti-incumbency, Congress-SP and media management cause big win for BJP!
-Dr. Abdul Ruff
Fate of corrupt Congress party
After independence Mahatma Gandhi had advised senior Congress party leaders to disband Congress party which has accomplished its historic mission of achieving freedom from British raj and launch a new political party to carry forward the work of the government. But most of the top Congress party members opposed the idea as they want to exploit the freedom struggle to win polls. Congress party was not disbanded nor was a new party launched by leaders. Now the Congress party is the most corrupt party and that is an insult to independence for which Gandhiji fought. It is high time to consider what Gandhiji has suggested long ago. .
The position of Congress party, the oldest national party, is the most pathetic outfit in Indian politics. Now it is not clear about what exactly it seeks in India after a series of crushing debacles, including the latest ones, by the Hindutva party like BJP which it, along with the state and military establishment, promoted by using state and private media outlets.
Not many expected the 100 year old senior party Congress as the major ruling party in India for years after Independence, with huge hidden cash bags (made illegally) would fall so deep in Indian scene, pushed mainly by its secret ally BJP. Indian voters have discarded Congress and its allies. However, unfortunately, they had to replace it with a communal party BJP.
Congress is in death bed and the political doctors have ruled out any chance for its survival. Congress leaders are literally limping, perhaps ready to jump the bogies. In spite of huge wealth, Congress party is slowly disappearing from the national scene being replaced mostly by BJP -and winning a seat here and there is not a matter at all. Significantly, in UP the Congress lost all the four assembly seats in Amethi district, the pocket borough of Nehru-Gandhi dynasty, with BJP bagging three of them. The BJP-led alliance also swept all the eight assembly segments falling under PM Modi’s Lok Sabha constituency Varanasi.
BJP also scored a massive victory in Uttarakhand winning 56 of the 70 seats in the state to storm to power, reducing Congress to minuscule minority in the state Assembly with a poor tally of 11 seats.
Is there Congress-BJP nexus over Presidential candidate?
Thanks to the tacit support of Congress and the Indian state, the Hindu communal BJP has now emerged as a truly national party this time by gradually ousting Congress party from most states, with its intrusion into the North eastern region by forming a government in Manipur state and already it’s the government in Assam.
Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi has failed the party and his mother Sonia by not been able to become popular vote puller for the party. He canvassed for the regional polls but without any visible success. Whatever his party got in Punjab and elsewhere was only on account of anti-incumbency factor- just as BJP got in UP and Uttarakhand.
Disappointed by the poll results, Rahul suggested rebuilding the party. But the party has already lost vote banks to BJP while it has lost Muslim votes. People don’t trust the party and leaders. Congress has reached the end point of existence as all its tracks failed to work. Congress has played vital role in building up of BJP and other RSS umbrella parties and now they have replaced Congress party itself and that leaves no hopes for the largest and oldest national party. Congress should now try to merge with BJP and pursue its hidden anti-Muslim agenda openly.
Apparently, many senior Congress men are toying with the idea of joining the RSS-BJP duo openly for regular financial favors. Some leaders have already begun praising PM Modi. Getting a feel of end of Congress raj and possibly receiving a positive signal from PM Modi to consider him for enjoyment at the Presidential palace along with a eye catching Mogul Garden for a full term after Pranab retires in months, former foreign minister, governor and former Karnataka CM SM Krishna, has quit Congress party just by criticizing Rahul Gandhi’s weak leadership.
It is strange Modi has not found a suitable leader in BJP to be made President now, including Amit Shah that the BJP has the necessary majority o elect the president. Other senior members also would follow the footsteps of Krishna but for the fact there is only one post of President.
It is a crude joke that SM Krishna says he would be humble BJP/RSS worker hereafter and very tactfully hides the promised “package” of Modi, including post of President. Krishna m behavior exposes all Hindu leaders who are essentially communalized Hindutva leaders.
Maybe both BJP and Congress have converged to make Krishna the next president. One can get the truth right away.
Congress party can call its politics a day by safely retiring from polls after getting Bharatratna for its services like Indian independence and promoting corruption and black money, etc in the post independent India. .Alternatively, Congress party could merge with BJP and assist it in further terrorizing Muslims.
Having achieved its hidden agenda of keeping Muslim population under Hindutva control by terrorization by using issues like Babri Mosque, Pakistan and terrorism etc at will, Congress party now could claim Bharatratna as a special case.
Father-son drama in UP to help BJP and betray Muslims
It appeasers, Congress, BJP and regional parties like SP have a secret conspiracy against Muslims and Babri Mosque.
All Congress efforts to get government back UP by alliance with SP have failed again. Breaking all previous records, the BJP bagged two-third majority in Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand.
RSS-BJP media strategy is amazing. Poll strategy and networking electioneering helped them. It is for the first time in the 16-year history of Uttarakhand that a party has emerged with an impressive tally like this. PM Modi’s image has been packaged systematically with a lot of home work and no other leader could emerge an equal or at least a strong leader to appeal to masses of their sincere intent. Unlike Congress, SP, BSP, etc, PM Modi does not need money to be given to his family members
Muslims have been strong contingent of vote bank for the continued success of Congress and SP, etc.
After along time of sustained bitter experience of betrayal by Congress party, Muslims have now stopped promoting that party both at national and regional levels. Now Muslims know Congress and BJP have got a common anti-Muslim agenda. Now SP has also proved to anti-Muslim party as it played a big drama of fight and split only to deny Muslims opportunity to represent Muslim community in the UP assembly. BJP wants the hon. Supreme Court of deliver an RSS judgment to appease Hindutva forces including the Congress and SP. May be the Modi regime has already submitted the judgment for the Supreme Court to deliver as its own. That is the RSS agenda.
Like fanatic Hindus many Muslims also wants only India to win fake cricket matches with many batboys enjoying 100s, and 200s etc. So, the Indian regime consider Muslims as supporters’ gimmicks of Hindutva. These Muslims obviously betray their religious faith by indulging in corrupt, gambling.
There is no strong ground for father – son fight over no real issues. It appears SP whose leader Mulayam Singh Yadav, former defence minister, was forced by military and Congress party to lose the elections in UP in favor of BJP which can then deal with Babri Mosque as it would decide and could use the Supreme Court to get final judgment in its favor. This is clearly a continuation of Congress-BJP conspiracy against Babri Mosque and Muslims now being supported by Mulayam of SP. Hence BJP has won in historic manner.
Father and former CM and defence minister of India, Mulayam Yadav defended his son Yadav and the outgoing CM of UP, saying that his alone cannot be blamed for the historic poll defeat as all are possible for this. Mulayam has played mischief and betrayed the Muslims who voted almost entirely for the SP last time. He joined the Congress and BJP to protect the Hindu criminal who pulled down historic Babri Mosque. The father – son fight was an eye wash to divide the party votes so that BJP wins maximum seats to support the RSS-BJP criminals.
Equating sycophancy with patriotism, and independence with anti-nationalism is only one of the alternate realities the BJP and its trolls have manufactured. So deeply are these alternate realities ingrained that the Indian Science Congress of 2015 turned into a joke, with vedic aeroplanes and time travel and what-have-you. The next year, the general secretary of the Indian Science Congress Association acknowledged that there had been some pressure from ministers. When even facts are forced to accede to the will of the government, can the people matter? The outcome of the elections is not universal popularity, but a churlish determination to claim power by force.
Many members of Congress, SP, and BSP are pro-Hindutva. The nuance that is lost is that this time around in Uttar Pradesh particularly, there has been a cross-fertilization of candidates from the Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) into the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). There are at least 38 former or current MLAs from the BSP who are fighting on a BJP ticket. There are 14 such former or current Congress MLAs again fighting on BJP tickets, in addition to eight from the Samajwadi Party and seven from the Rashtriya Lok Dal. In all, there are 75 constituencies where tickets have been given to a person who did not contest the elections on a BJP ticket in the past. The rationale for handing out these tickets is that these candidates have a higher chance of winning as they have won this seat earlier. This is ostensibly based on a series of four surveys conducted by the BJP in every constituency. Some of these surveys were carried out by RSS functionary in the areas.
In May 2014, the people’s choice was clear – a combination of anti-incumbency and what was dubbed “the Modi wave” had unseated the Congress and brought the BJP in with a majority of its own, 282 seats out of the NDA’s 336. It was a landslide.
Since its victory in 2014, the BJP has hurried Bill after Bill through the two houses, without much thought to the rights each violates – instances are the Surrogacy (Regulation) Bill, 2016, and the Juvenile Justice (Care and Protection of Children) Bill, 2015.
In the last election, the Samajwadi Party won 224 seats with a vote share of 29.15 percent, while the BSP got 80 seats with a vote share of 25.91 percent. A difference of 3.36 percent between the first and second party made a difference of 144 seats. This was at a time when the BJP got 47 seats with a 15 percent vote share and the Congress got 27 seats with a vote share of 11.63 percent.
Due to recent fissures, the Samajwadi Party depended on the cohort or caucus around Akhilesh Yadav and older members of the party were not engaged. In the BSP, it is the decision of Mayawati, who is ably supported by a team and has the largest number of Muslim candidates in the fray.
Muslims feel betrayed by Congress and other pseudo-secular outfits.
Modi trades in profitable ideas
Success of Modi includes the ability sell profitable ideas to get political mileage as other leaders are bankrupt in ideas.
The RSS-BJP duo swears by divisive politics to deny Muslims their share, use mosques, beef, etc as bully tool to get Hindu votes. PM Modi deliberately avoid the issues, though he never asks the party leaders not to target or threaten Muslims.
Fresh from BJP’s landslide win in UP and Uttarakhand after a bitter and often divisive campaign, PM Modi talked about inclusivity and pitched for building a ‘new India’ by 2022 that would have made the nation’s founding fathers proud. Accepting felicitations from party leaders and supporters at BJP headquarters, Modi said he saw the election results, particularly in Uttar Pradesh, as the “foundation of the new India”. Modi declared: “A new India, where the poor do not want anything by way of charity, but seek opportunity to chart out their own course. I see this change happening”. Later, Modi tweeted, “India is emerging, which is being powered by the strength & skills of 125 crore Indians.
Modi, who was accused by his rivals of playing caste and religion politics during the campaign, said the BJP-led dispensation will take everybody along as “in democracy governments are formed with a majority but run with consensus”. Noting that the government has no right to discriminate against anybody, Modi said, “This government is of those who have voted for it and also those who have not”.
Modi said India stands for development, India is transforming, powered by the strength of each and every citizen of India but his ‘crematorium and graveyard’ remark at an election rally in UP was seen as intended to polarize voters along communal lines. “An India that is driven by innovation, hard work and creativity; an India characterized by peace, unity and brotherhood; and an India free from corruption, terrorism, black money and dirt.” Development is a difficult subject dealing with transition towards creation of a new India, he said.
Demonetisation, besides being a bold, unprecedented economic policy, also carried significant weight as a big strategic move for Modi, for whom fight against black money has always been at the top of his poll agenda since 2014.
The UP outcome temporarily ends the debate on the impact of demonetisation on Modi’s political fortunes. PM Modi has passed his first big demonetisation test in style, silencing his political rivals and proving decisively that Modi wave has negated the demonetisation card flashed by his political rivals all along.
BJP’s media management strategy
Not even the senior most corrupt Congress could match the tricks of controlling media a BJP has been for quit sometime even during the Congress rule era. In fact, Congress let RSS/BJP take full control over the state media, especially the Doordarshan – the only TV available then in India- by starting with presenting Hindutva ideas like Ramayana and Mahabharata. In fact, BJP should thank the Congress and Babri Mosque and Muslims for their phenomenon rise.
If India had only Hindus, obviously BJP and RSS would have no place and could not have won elections. Whom would they have targeted to get Hindu votes?
Apart from voting machine tempering, money supply, Modi’s regular rhetoric, BJP’s media management strategy, as usual, greatly helped BJP to win polls without any credible substance in campaigns. The voters on the ground also grasp intuitively as they do not want to waste their vote. A voter always wants to claim that he/she gave his vote to the winning candidate. Media focused on BJP.
Modi tried to make the poll “vote for Modi” poll. The media — broadcast television, at least — prefers to lump in every bit of coverage based on what the president or leaders of political parties are saying at various rallies. PM Modi occupied top slot in both print and non-print media. The cameras pan over huge crowds and they capture the choicest sound bites from his speeches almost 24 hours. The voters cannot seek any fresh information from the English language dailies either as they are also obsessed with leaders. Indian language dailies also no better but they go into the details of each candidate at the constituency-level. The debate and discussion is at candidate-level and not about the parties. While political parties will try to create or build a wave of momentum, it is not happening across the state.
The trend that is clear now is that there is an anti-incumbency factor at work against the Samajwadi Party in UP, while its alliance partner, the Congress is hobbled by the lack of a ground network.
The BJP seems to be the party that every other party is fighting against for its communal and divisive agenda. Division in SP is the reason people have begun predicting a victory for BJP in UP state.
(More to follow)